Tuesday, September 8, 2015

College Football week 1 matchup results

Wow, didn't see that coming.  Fill that in for whichever game you like, I know it applies to a couple for myself.  You can find a breakdown of my value plays that I released throughout the weekend and that record HERE.  But in this post I want to focus on the results that were generated by my game matchups.  The week 1 game matchups were posted, keep scrolling down and you'll see them, and since all games are in it's finally time to tally up the results.

There were a total of 39 FBS lined games included in my game matchups, but in one of the games the Vegas line and the JMG expected line were exactly the same, so it can't be counted for these purposes.  That leaves us with 38 games where, base on the JMG expected line, there was value to had.  Of those 38 games, the team that JMG deemed valuable covered the spread 23 times, leaving 15 losses( 23-15-0).  That is an amazing 60.5% win percentage against the spread.  It takes a 53% ATS mark in order to win money and cover the vigorish (you know the juice), so the fact that the JMG system is 7.5% ahead of that mark speaks volumes.  Plus, this was picking every game, which is extremely foolish, and usually extremely unprofitable.

So pay attention to the game matchup postings each week as I give that information away.  The week 2 game matchups are already posted, and there is lots of value to be found in some of those games.  I know the sharp money is out there eating away at this value now and moving lines, so make sure to check back later this week for an update to the game matchups.


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